A prediction from a machine learning perspective is a single point that hides the uncertainty of that prediction. Prediction intervals provide a way to quantify and communicate the uncertainty in a prediction. They are different from confidence intervals that instead seek to quantify the uncertainty in a population parameter such as a mean or standard […]
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Making Predictions with Sequences
Sequence prediction is different from other types of supervised learning problems. The sequence imposes an order on the observations that must be preserved when training models and making predictions. Generally, prediction problems that involve sequence data are referred to as sequence prediction problems, although there are a suite of problems that differ based on the […]
How to use an Encoder-Decoder LSTM to Echo Sequences of Random Integers
A powerful feature of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks is that they can remember observations over long sequence intervals. This can be demonstrated by contriving a simple sequence echo problem where the entire input sequence or partial contiguous blocks of the input sequence are echoed as an output sequence. Developing LSTM recurrent neural […]
Time Series Forecast Study with Python: Monthly Sales of French Champagne
Time series forecasting is a process, and the only way to get good forecasts is to practice this process. In this tutorial, you will discover how to forecast the monthly sales of French champagne with Python. Working through this tutorial will provide you with a framework for the steps and the tools for working through […]
Time Series Forecast Case Study with Python: Annual Water Usage in Baltimore
Time series forecasting is a process, and the only way to get good forecasts is to practice this process. In this tutorial, you will discover how to forecast the annual water usage in Baltimore with Python. Working through this tutorial will provide you with a framework for the steps and the tools for working through […]
Time Series Forecast Case Study with Python: Monthly Armed Robberies in Boston
Time series forecasting is a process, and the only way to get good forecasts is to practice this process. In this tutorial, you will discover how to forecast the number of monthly armed robberies in Boston with Python. Working through this tutorial will provide you with a framework for the steps and the tools for […]
Machine Learning Books
The Complete Machine Learning Bookshelf. Books are a fantastic investment. You get years of experience for tens of dollars. I love books and I read every machine learning book I can get my hands on. I think having good references is the fastest way to getting good answers to your machine learning questions, and having […]
Time Series Prediction with LSTM Recurrent Neural Networks in Python with Keras
Time series prediction problems are a difficult type of predictive modeling problem. Unlike regression predictive modeling, time series also adds the complexity of a sequence dependence among the input variables. A powerful type of neural network designed to handle sequence dependence is called a recurrent neural network. The Long Short-Term Memory network or LSTM network […]
EBooks
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Take Control By Creating Targeted Lists of Machine Learning Algorithms
Any book on machine learning will list and describe dozens of machine learning algorithms. Once you start using tools and libraries you will discover dozens more. This can really wear you down, if you think you need to know about every possible algorithm out there. A simple trick to tackle this feeling and take some […]